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Mrs. Guinea Pig, Baltimore, MD Age and Occupation: 26, PhD student Fiance's Age and Occupation: 26, Operations Director at a non-profit Engagement Date: December 25, 2008 Wedding Date: May 2010 Venue: The Chesapeake Bay Beach Club About Me: I'm a tomboy science nerd whose girly side has made a startling appearance thanks to wedding planning! I love to bake, knit and sew but I also ride a motorcycle (that Mr. Guinea Pig wouldn't touch with a 10 foot pole). We live with our three crazy cats and love to read, travel, watch movies, and do home improvement projects together! My parents/family are Canadian but I'm definitely American, although I've lived in 5 different countries, 6 different states, and speak Russian fluently. Mr. GP and I met online (did I mention I'm a scientist?) and had a whirlwind romance - now we can't wait to get married & celebrate with all our friends and family in a blue and yellow waterfront affair!
About Mrs. Guinea Pig

Playing the Numbers

April 14th, 2010 @ 10:45 am by Mrs. Guinea Pig

With our (admittedly early) RSVP deadline already past us, it’s time to crunch some numbers.

Much like Miss Pug mentioned, when we were estimating how many people to invite to our wedding based on budget and room capacity, I had trouble figuring out what a good acceptance rate would be a reasonable estimate. Somewhere on the internets, I stumbled upon a predicted 75% yes rate and decided that sounded legitimate: I’d go with that. So we invited 214 people, hoped for 160 but planned for 180 just in case (which would have been an 85% yes response rate).

While we’re still missing about 5 RSVPs, I feel pretty confident predicting those responses, so here’s the breakdown:

Out of 214 people invited, we’ll have about 135 attending (plus or minus a couple in case I guess the remaining RSVPs wrong). That’s a ~63% acceptance rate.

Mr. Guinea Pig’s large extended family is almost all local, so many of them are able to attend - however since I moved every 3 years growing up, most of my friends and family are spread out and would have to travel quite a ways to get here. To break down that overall percentage even further, here are more numbers:

Local people (anyone in MD or N. VA) invited = 101
Out of town people invited = 113

For us, ~90% of local people said yes. But only 41% of the out-of-town folks said yes.

I was a little surprised, and disappointed, to come to this realization today when I finally tallied up the numbers. I’ll admit - when I was freaking out about the budget and sledgehammering it with our guest list, I was worried we’d have 180 people showing up and was praying for 160. Now that I realize it’ll only be 130 people, I’m sad (that’s always how things work, right?).

In addition there’s something I alluded to above, which is that most of those people who can’t come are my invitees - of those attending our wedding, 70% are Mr. Guinea Pig’s “side”. I’ll be honest - I cried when I realized that. I also (rather melodramatically) said to Mr. GP, “People don’t love me enough to come to our wedding!” It felt like a reflection of what people think of me.

Mr. Guinea Pig wisely reminded me that the cost and effort of getting to and staying on Kent Island can be prohibitively high for many people, and that their inability to come to the wedding in no way reflects what they think of me. Because well over the majority of my guest list is out-of-towners, of course more of them won’t be able to make it. A logical explanation, and I’m sure he’s right, but I still feel a little down about it.

Instead of dwelling on it though, I’m going to continue to try to make our wedding the most fun, happy, heartwarmingly awesome time for all the guests who can make it. Out-of-town bags, bathroom baskets, favors, and thank yous—here I come! Not to mention the fact that we’re very lucky almost all of both our extended families can make it, and I’m so grateful to be joining such a big, welcoming family!

How did your actual numbers compare to your expected percentage? Was anyone else disappointed to find so many ‘No’s?

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45 Responses to “Playing the Numbers”

1 2 3 

1.
farmersdaughter
Member
farmersdaughter (message)  1,675 posts, Bumble bee

I haven’t sent my invitations yet, so I’m still in the stage of praying for low numbers (we also want 160 and are planning for up to 180.) Right now I can’t imagine feeling anything but relief if we come in under capacity, but I suppose I shouldn’t be surprised if those feelings change. I have a “B” list so I might send out a few extras invites if we end up that far under.

 
2.
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Member
di5308 (message)  382 posts, Helper bee

It is the same for myself and my FI. Almost all of his gigantic family lives within 30 miles of his parents home, and within 45-60 of our venue. W’re in the country, so that’s local for us. All of my family and friends are at least 3 hours away, and I have more that live in other states. We’re getting a similar RSVP rate, due to the distance. Thankfully, I have a few long distance friends who are from the area, and are able to make the trip.

 
3.
teaadntoast
Member
teaadntoast (message)  2,595 posts, Sugar bee

My acceptance rate is roughly the same as yours. It stung for a bit, but in the end I’m happy because I know that all the people who really matter to me will be there.

 
4.
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Member
rachel_leigh (message)  1,106 posts, Bumble bee

This is EXACTLY where I am right now. Besides the few rsvps that are still out, we are looking at around a 60 to 65 percent yes rate. Much lower than I would have wanted. Although interestingly for us, a lot of the people who have said no were local! But that is FI’s kooky family for you…

 
5.
Mrs. Pug
Bee
Mrs. Pug (message)  3,753 posts, Honey bee

on one hand, i’m glad the guest count for your wedding is totally manageable, but on the other hand i’m sorry it was a bummer to not have as many of your guests come. but mr. gp had it right–it absolutely has everything to do with logistics/finances as opposed to how they feel about you. you are a rock star–they are probably more bummed about missing it than you are about not having them there!

 
6.
Miss French Fries
Bee
Miss French Fries (message)  2,218 posts, Buzzing bee

Now that our invites are out, I’m anxiously awaiting those little envelopes holding people’s RSVPs to show up in our mailbox. We invited our max number that we could afford, and not any over– but I’m thinking maybe we should have gone over a little bit since not everyone will be able to come. I guess we’ll see!

Your wedding will be fab, no matter how many people show up. I’m positive! :)

 
7.
LisaBee
Member
LisaBee (message)  358 posts, Helper bee

We haven’t mailed out our invites, but the things that makes me a little sad are the sheer number of very close friends that FI has compared to me. I have a small number of dear friends, and I like that. But comparatively, FI has a large number of equally as dear friends, so it makes me a little bummed when comparing that. On the flip side, Most of my extended family is local and will all be there, whereas FI’s family is mostly international, and 90% won’t be able to make it. Sigh.

 
8.
lindsaylee13
Member
lindsaylee13 (message)  106 posts, Blushing bee

I feel the same way! Our RSVP deadline is about two weeks away yet, but there have already been more people declining than I thought. So far most of the declines have been from people I assumed would be able to come. I know it’s so easy to take personally, but whenever I want to get bummed out about who’s not coming I remind myself who will be there and I feel better :D I am sure your wedding is going to be a blast regardless of the number of people!

 
9.
shaydenise
Member
shaydenise (message)  1,151 posts, Bumble bee

Just think of it this way, come reception time, they will ALL be your family - meaning you will have 135 people there for you =).

 
10.
mspitcher
Member
mspitcher (message)  60 posts, Worker bee

I am not a scientist, per se, but I am the data and compliance manager for a nonprofit… and your analysis with out of town, total responses, etc. was a sight for sore eyes! LOVE IT! It’s exactly something I would do. :)

My FI is notorious for not RSVPing for weddings, and when we send ours, he’s already been delegated the task of alllllllll of the follow up calls!

 
11.
Bee Icon
Bee
Miss Hamster (message)  4,046 posts, Honey bee

Aw, I would be sad as well :(. But Mr. GP is right - it’s not b/c they don’t love you enough!! I’ll be getting a better idea of our numbers in the next few weeks.

 
12.
Bee Icon
Bee
Miss Sewing (message)  2,701 posts, Sugar bee

i don’t want to even think of what our guest turnouts going to be. its going to be so very one-sided it’s disturbing…*sigh* I like shaydenise’s way of looking at it, very positive! :)

 
13.
mspitcher
Member
mspitcher (message)  60 posts, Worker bee

@LisaBee:
I felt the same way for a while, but I really think that there are a lot of outstanding circumstances which make this so, rather than it being any reasons for feeling “bummed” — my FI has a lot of local family and a lot of local friends (we’re living in and getting married near his hometown); most of my close friends from college are all over the place. It’s tough not to take personally sometimes, or be saddened by it; I know where you’re coming from.

 
14.
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Member
trishisadish (message)  433 posts, Helper bee

Brad has WAY more family, extended family, family friends etc… so I imagine 90% of our wedding guests will be his invtes…

 
15.
Bee Icon
Bee
Miss Trail Mix (message)  6,328 posts, Bee Keeper

Honestly, I am soooooooo freakin jealous of you right now, it’s not even funny!!! We invited about 235, were praying that only 175 would attend but it looks like it’s going to be more like, 200, which SUCKS!

 
16.
alivoo01
Member
alivoo01 (message)  2,622 posts, Sugar bee

I totally feel ya! FI’s family is HUGE and my family is all scattered across the world. I expect an extremely low turn out on my side and am pretty bummed about it. I even told my FI that I was tempted to not have a wedding because like you, I felt no one loved me enough to come. My invites go out in June so we’ll see what my family responds with - maybe I’ll be pleasantly surprised?? :-)

 
17.
LoriLori
Member
LoriLori (message)  727 posts, Busy bee

My very early invites are out (we’re doing a semi destination wedding with a small guest list) and it is KILLING me that the responses are dribbling in. C’mon people!

 
18.
sunnydebs
Member
sunnydebs (message)  784 posts, Busy bee

If it’s not too late, and you’d like to have some more guests to celebrate with you, how about extending invitations for singles to bring guests (if you didn’t before), inviting some coworkers, or inviting some of your friends’ parents who maybe initially wouldn’t have made the cut?

 
19.
amariem25
Member
amariem25 (message)  3,733 posts, Sugar bee

I have to admit I was a little disappointed that so many people didn’t come to ours. We invited 160 and thought at least 125 would come. I was a little sad when only 107 came. It just made the wedding seem a lot smaller and sometimes I thought to myself “why did I do all this planning for only 100 people?”

 
20.
Guest Icon
Guest
That Girl

I’m not at the point of sending out invites but I’m currently at the stressed out point of compiling the invite list. Coming from a big extended family I knew my list would be large before my FI got to add his side but I didn’t think it would reach 230 so quickly.

I’m only inviting people I care about, not strangers, and yet I’m hoping that the 75% or less YES response rate happens for us so that my budget doesn’t have to explode.

 
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Mrs. Guinea Pig
Mrs. Guinea Pig

Mrs. Guinea Pig, Baltimore, MD Age and Occupation: 26, PhD student Fiance's Age and Occupation: 26, Operations Director at a non-profit Engagement Date: December 25, 2008 Wedding Date: May 2010 Venue: The Chesapeake Bay Beach Club About Me: I'm a tomboy science nerd whose girly side has made a startling appearance thanks to wedding planning! I love to bake, knit and sew but I also ride a motorcycle (that Mr. Guinea Pig wouldn't touch with a 10 foot pole). We live with our three crazy cats and love to read, travel, watch movies, and do home improvement projects together! My parents/family are Canadian but I'm definitely American, although I've lived in 5 different countries, 6 different states, and speak Russian fluently. Mr. GP and I met online (did I mention I'm a scientist?) and had a whirlwind romance - now we can't wait to get married & celebrate with all our friends and family in a blue and yellow waterfront affair!

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